UC Davis Agricultural and Resource Economics


Research Statement


"Effortless Perfection: Do Chinese Cities Manipulate Air Pollution Data," (with Junjie Zhang) Journal of Environmental Economics and Management (Lead Article), 68(2), September 2014. (Summary on a Chinese blog)

"Forecasting Conditional Probabilities of Binary Outcomes under Misspecification," (with Graham Elliott and Fabian Krueger) Review of Economics and Statistics, 98(4), October 2016.

"Testing Identifying Assumptions in Nonseparable Panel Data Models," Journal of Econometrics, 197(2), April 2017.
SlidesWorking PaperSupplementary AppendixCode Available Upon Request.  

"Stage-specific, Nonlinear Surface Ozone Damage to Rice Production in China," (with Colin Carter, Xiaomeng Cui, Aijun Ding, Fei Jiang, Fujin Yi, and Funing Zhong), Scientific Reports, Nature Publishing Group, 7:44224, March 2017.

"Identifying the Economic Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture,"(with Colin Carter, Xiaomeng Cui and Pierre Merel), Annual Review of Resource Economics, 10:361-380, October 2018.

Working Papers

"Testing Attrition Bias in Field Experiments" (with Sarojini Hirshleifer and Karen Ortiz-Becerra) CEGA Working Paper No.93 World Bank Blog Post

"A James-Stein-type Adjustment to Bias Correction in Nonlinear Panel Data Models"

"A Censored Maximum Likelihood Approach to Quantifying Manipulation in China's Air Pollution Data" (with Shu Shen and Junjie Zhang)

"On Model Selection Criteria for Climate Change Impact Studies" (with Xiaomeng Cui and Todd Kuffner)

"Causality in Structural Vector Autoregressions: Science or Sorcery?" (with Aaron Smith)

Work in Progress

"A Group Random Coefficient Approach to Modeling Heterogeneity in Technology Adoption" (with Oscar Barriga, Travis Lybbert, Jeffrey Michler, Aleksandr Michuda and Emilia Tjernstrom)

"Fixed Effects Models with High-Frequency Data" (with Aaron Smith)

"Estimating the Impact of Climate Change: An Exploration of the Bin Regression Model" (with Alex Chu and Richard Carson)

Older Working Papers (incorporated in later work)

"A Censored Maximum Likelihood Approach to Quantifying Data Manipulation with an Air Pollution Example" (with Shu Shen and Junjie Zhang) Supp App

"Uncovering the Heterogeneous Quality of China's Air Pollution Data" (with Shu Shen and Junjie Zhang)

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