UC Davis Agricultural and Resource Economics



"Effortless Perfection: Do Chinese Cities Manipulate Air Pollution Data," (with Junjie Zhang) Journal of Environmental Economics and Management (Lead Article), 68(2), September 2014. (Summary on a Chinese blog)

"Forecasting Conditional Probabilities of Binary Outcomes under Misspecification," (with Graham Elliott and Fabian Krueger) Review of Economics and Statistics, 98(4), October 2016.

"Testing Identifying Assumptions in Nonseparable Panel Data Models," Journal of Econometrics, 197(2), April 2017.
SlidesCode Available Upon Request.  

"Stage-specific, Nonlinear Surface Ozone Damage to Rice Production in China," (with Colin Carter, Xiaomeng Cui, Aijun Ding, Fei Jiang, Fujin Yi, and Funing Zhong), Scientific Reports, Nature Publishing Group, 7:44224, March 2017.

"Identifying the Economic Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture,"(with Colin Carter, Xiaomeng Cui and Pierre Merel), Annual Review of Resource Economics, 10:361-380, October 2018.

"A Censored Maximum Likelihood Approach to Quantifying Manipulation in China's Air Pollution Data" (with Shu Shen and Junjie Zhang), Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economics, 2020, 7:5, 965-1003.  Ado Files and Demonstration Data on Github

"What are the Benefits of High-frequency Data for Fixed Effects Panel Models?" (with Aaron Smith) Journal of the Association for Environmental and Resource Economics, 2021, 8:2.

"Causality in Structural Vector Autoregressions: Science or Sorcery?" (with Aaron Smith) forthcoming at American Journal of Agricultural Economics

"A James-Stein-type Adjustment to Bias Correction in Fixed Effects Panel Models" forthcoming at Econometric Reviews


"Discussion: Models as Approximations" (with Todd Kuffner) Statistical Science 34 (4),  p. 604-605, 2019.

Working Papers

"Testing Attrition Bias in Field Experiments" (with Sarojini Hirshleifer and Karen Ortiz-Becerra) CEGA Working Paper No.93  Revision requested at Journal of Human Resources SlidesStata Ado File on Github

"On Model Selection Criteria for Climate Change Impact Studies" (with Xiaomeng Cui and Todd Kuffner) Revision requested at Journal of Econometrics

"A Group Random Coefficient Approach to Modeling Heterogeneous Returns to Technology Adoption" (with Oscar Barriga, Travis Lybbert, Jeffrey Michler, Aleksandr Michuda and Emilia Tjernstrom)

"Correcting Attrition Bias via Changes-in-Changes" (with Sarojini Hirshleifer, Desire Kedagni and Karen Ortiz-Becerra) 

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